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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Southampton

T U S S T

0–1

Full-time

West Ham

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,1

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 18. · West Ham 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	17	16	1	0	+28	49
2	Leicester	17	12	3	2	+29	39
3	Man City	16	10	2	4	+25	32
4	Chelsea	17	9	2	6	+6	29
5	Sheffield United	17	6	7	4	+5	25
6	Man United	16	6	6	4	+6	24
7	Wolves	16	5	9	2	+4	24
8	Tottenham	16	6	5	5	+7	23
9	Arsenal	16	5	7	4	+0	22
10	Crystal Palace	16	6	4	6	-4	22
11	Newcastle	17	6	4	7	-7	22
12	Burnley	17	6	3	8	-7	21
13	Brighton	16	5	4	7	-4	19
14	Bournemouth	17	5	4	8	-5	19
15	Everton	16	5	2	9	-9	17
16	West Ham	16	4	4	8	-10	16
17	Aston Villa	17	4	3	10	-7	15
18	Southampton	16	4	3	9	-17	15
19	Norwich	17	3	3	11	-17	12
20	Watford	17	1	6	10	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Leicester	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Man City	8	5	1	2	+14	16
5	Man United	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Burnley	9	5	0	4	+0	15
7	Chelsea	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Arsenal	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Wolves	8	3	4	1	+2	13
10	Sheffield United	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Newcastle	8	3	4	1	+2	13
12	Everton	8	4	1	3	+0	13
13	Brighton	8	3	3	2	+2	12
14	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Crystal Palace	8	3	2	3	-1	11
16	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	West Ham	8	2	1	5	-6	7
18	Norwich	8	2	1	5	-7	7
19	Southampton	8	2	1	5	-14	7
20	Watford	8	0	4	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	Leicester	8	5	1	2	+15	16
3	Man City	8	5	1	2	+11	16
4	Chelsea	8	5	0	3	+3	15
5	Sheffield United	8	2	6	0	+3	12
6	Wolves	8	2	5	1	+2	11
7	Crystal Palace	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	Bournemouth	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Man United	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Arsenal	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	West Ham	8	2	3	3	-4	9
12	Newcastle	9	3	0	6	-9	9
13	Southampton	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Brighton	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Tottenham	8	1	3	4	-5	6
16	Burnley	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Norwich	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Watford	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Aston Villa	9	1	1	7	-7	4
20	Everton	8	1	1	6	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.