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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Ath Bilbao
U S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Eibar
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
44%
25%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
25%
56%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
9 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 6. · Eibar 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 11 2 3 +23 35
2 Real Madrid 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Sevilla 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Sociedad 17 8 4 5 +8 28
5 Getafe 16 7 6 3 +8 27
6 Ath Bilbao 16 7 5 4 +7 26
7 Ath Madrid 16 6 8 2 +6 26
8 Valencia 16 7 5 4 +3 26
9 Granada 17 7 3 7 +2 24
10 Osasuna 16 5 8 3 +4 23
11 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
12 Betis 16 6 4 6 -5 22
13 Villarreal 16 5 4 7 +4 19
14 Valladolid 16 4 7 5 -4 19
15 Alaves 17 5 4 8 -6 19
16 Eibar 16 4 3 9 -13 15
17 Mallorca 16 4 2 10 -12 14
18 Celta 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Leganes 17 2 4 11 -16 10
20 Espanol 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Eibar
21′
🔁 E. Burgos
↦ Bigas
Half-time 0–0
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
46′
Raúl García 🟨
55′
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Unai López
64′
82′
🔁 P. De Blasis
↦ Pedro León
86′
🟨 Kike
86′
🔁 Charles
↦ Kike
88′
🟨 Marko Dmitrović
Ander Capa 🟨
90′
Mikel San José 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Álvaro Tejero
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
6 Mikel San José M
14 Dani García M
9 Iñaki Williams M
8 Unai López M
11 Íñigo Córdoba M
22 Raúl García F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
3 Unai Núñez
15 Íñigo Lekue
34 Oihan Sancet
19 Ibai Gómez
7 Beñat Etxebarria
25 Asier Villalibre

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Eibar

4-4-2
1 Marko Dmitrović G
20 Róber D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Pedro Bigas D
24 Álvaro Tejero D
21 Pedro León M
5 Gonzalo Escalante M
10 Edu Expósito M
22 Takashi Inui M
9 Sergi Enrich F
17 Kike F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
31 Sergio Cubero
2 Esteban Burgos
16 Pablo De Blasis
33 Miguel Atienza
19 Charles Días
7 Quique

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
3,58
B
5,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.