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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

S U U S S

1–2

Full-time

Lens

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 56%

53%

59%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

24%

47%

Both score Ø 38%

35%

41%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

1 Corners 9

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 3. · Lens 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	18	12	3	3	+18	39
2	Lens	17	10	4	3	+13	34
3	Ajaccio	17	9	6	2	+10	33
4	Troyes	17	10	2	5	+4	32
5	Clermont	18	8	5	5	+2	29
6	Le Havre	18	7	7	4	+9	28
7	Sochaux	18	7	6	5	+6	27
8	Valenciennes	18	7	6	5	+1	27
9	Nancy	18	5	11	2	+4	26
10	Guingamp	17	6	6	5	+5	24
11	Grenoble	18	4	11	3	+1	23
12	Rodez	18	6	3	9	-2	21
13	Caen	18	4	8	6	-4	20
14	Auxerre	18	4	7	7	+0	19
15	Chambly	18	5	4	9	-10	19
16	Chateauroux	18	4	6	8	-9	18
17	Niort	18	4	5	9	-7	17
18	Le Mans	18	5	2	11	-12	17
19	Paris FC	18	4	3	11	-15	15
20	Orleans	18	1	7	10	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nancy	10	5	5	0	+8	20
2	Lens	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Lorient	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Sochaux	10	5	3	2	+9	18
5	Rodez	9	5	1	3	+5	16
6	Valenciennes	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Troyes	9	5	0	4	-1	15
8	Le Havre	8	3	4	1	+7	13
9	Guingamp	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Auxerre	9	3	4	2	+4	13
11	Ajaccio	8	3	4	1	+3	13
12	Le Mans	10	4	1	5	-1	13
13	Clermont	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Caen	9	2	4	3	-4	10
15	Grenoble	8	1	6	1	+0	9
16	Niort	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Chambly	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Paris FC	8	2	1	5	-8	7
19	Chateauroux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Orleans	9	0	2	7	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Ajaccio	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Troyes	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Clermont	9	5	2	2	+1	17
5	Lens	9	4	3	2	+3	15
6	Le Havre	10	4	3	3	+2	15
7	Grenoble	10	3	5	2	+1	14
8	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Chateauroux	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Caen	9	2	4	3	+0	10
12	Chambly	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Sochaux	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Orleans	9	1	5	3	-2	8
15	Niort	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Paris FC	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Auxerre	9	1	3	5	-4	6
18	Nancy	8	0	6	2	-4	6
19	Rodez	9	1	2	6	-7	5
20	Le Mans	8	1	1	6	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.