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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Ross County
U T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
25%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
88%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
63%
35%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 8. · Kilmarnock 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 13 1 1 +37 40
2 Rangers 15 12 2 1 +35 38
3 Motherwell 17 10 1 6 +7 31
4 Aberdeen 17 8 5 4 +3 29
5 Kilmarnock 17 6 5 6 -3 23
6 Hibernian 17 5 7 5 -2 22
7 Livingston 17 4 6 7 -4 18
8 Ross County 16 4 5 7 -16 17
9 St Mirren 17 4 2 11 -12 14
10 Hearts 16 2 6 8 -11 12
11 Hamilton 17 2 6 9 -14 12
12 ST Johnstone 15 2 6 7 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Kilmarnock
B. McKay 🔁
↦ M. Gardyne
10′
32′
🟨 Alan Power
Ross Stewart 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Billy McKay 🟨
55′
L. Erwin 🔁
↦ B. Graham
65′
Harrison Paton 🟨
71′
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ L. Spence
74′
85′
🔁 M. El Makrini
↦ R. McKenzie
88′
🔁 D. Thomas
↦ L. Millar
1–0 L. Erwin
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ross County

4-4-2
21 N. Baxter G
18 R. Foster D
4 L. Fontaine D
5 C. Morris D
3 S. Kelly D
7 M. Gardyne F
14 J. Mullin M
16 L. Spence M
24 H. Paton M
19 B. Graham F
27 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
9 B. McKay
8 L. Erwin
17 E. Henderson
1 R. Laidlaw
20 B. Spittal
2 M. Fraser
15 K. Watson

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
12 L. Brănescu G
2 S. O'Donnell D
26 D. Del Fabro D
14 N. Hamalainen D
5 C. Johnson D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
9 E. Brophy F
11 L. Millar F
Bench (7)
15 M. El Makrini
23 D. Thomas
3 S. Hendrie
4 A. Bruce
20 I. Wilson
24 J. Koprivec
16 S. Jackson

Coach: A. Alessio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,82
U
3,39
B
2,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.