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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
St Mirren
S T T T S
3–3
Full-time
Livingston
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 7
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 9. · Livingston 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 13 1 1 +37 40
2 Rangers 15 12 2 1 +35 38
3 Motherwell 17 10 1 6 +7 31
4 Aberdeen 17 8 5 4 +3 29
5 Kilmarnock 17 6 5 6 -3 23
6 Hibernian 17 5 7 5 -2 22
7 Livingston 17 4 6 7 -4 18
8 Ross County 16 4 5 7 -16 17
9 St Mirren 17 4 2 11 -12 14
10 Hearts 16 2 6 8 -11 12
11 Hamilton 17 2 6 9 -14 12
12 ST Johnstone 15 2 6 7 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Livingston
13′
A. Souda 0–1
26′
🟨 Steve Lawson
1–1 J. Morias
J. Obika
33′
45′
J. Guthrie 1–2
C. Sibbald
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 A. Lithgow
↦ A. Taylor-Sinclair
T. Andreu 🔁
↦ K. McAllister
51′
56′
A. Souda 1–3
L. Dykes
2–3 J. Obika
T. Andreu
61′
66′
🔁 K. Jacobs
↦ C. Sibbald
Ryan Flynn 🟨
71′
C. Cooke 🔁
↦ S. Glover
73′
3–3 J. Obika
T. Andreu
73′
78′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ A. Souda
83′
🟨 Scott Robinson
88′
🟨 Lyndon Dykes
D. Mullen 🔁
↦ J. Morias
89′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 V. Hladký G
3 C. Waters D
5 S. McLoughlin D
8 R. Flynn M
11 Í. Durmuş M
14 K. McAllister F
7 K. Magennis M
24 C. MacPherson M
48 S. Glover M
9 J. Obika F
19 J. Morias F
Bench (7)
10 T. Andreu
20 C. Cooke
18 D. Mullen
41 L. Jamieson
23 O. Djorkaeff
4 S. McGinn
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Livingston

4-2-3-1
30 M. Šarkić G
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair D
5 R. Lamie D
27 J. Guthrie D
33 S. Lawson D
6 M. Bartley M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 S. Lawless M
8 S. Pittman M
20 A. Souda F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
4 A. Lithgow
7 K. Jacobs
17 S. Robinson
1 R. Stewart
21 J. McMillan
14 H. Odofin
19 C. Erskine

Coach: G. Holt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,21
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.