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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Barnsley
T T S T U
5–3
Full-time
QPR
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
10%
43%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
57%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 24. · QPR 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 22 14 7 1 +22 49
2 Leeds 21 14 4 3 +22 46
3 Bristol City 21 9 8 4 +4 35
4 Fulham 20 10 4 6 +10 34
5 Nott'm Forest 20 9 7 4 +10 34
6 Preston 21 10 4 7 +7 34
7 Sheffield Weds 21 9 6 6 +9 33
8 Swansea 20 8 7 5 +3 31
9 Blackburn 21 9 4 8 +0 31
10 QPR 21 9 4 8 -5 31
11 Brentford 20 9 3 8 +12 30
12 Hull 22 8 6 8 +3 30
13 Cardiff 20 8 6 6 +2 30
14 Millwall 21 7 9 5 -1 30
15 Birmingham 22 8 4 10 -7 28
16 Derby 21 6 8 7 -6 26
17 Charlton 22 6 6 10 -2 24
18 Reading 20 6 4 10 -2 22
19 Huddersfield 21 5 6 10 -10 21
20 Middlesbrough 21 4 9 8 -10 21
21 Luton 21 6 2 13 -17 20
22 Stoke 21 5 2 14 -11 17
23 Wigan 21 4 5 12 -15 17
24 Barnsley 21 2 7 12 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley QPR
1–0 C. Chaplin
J. Brown
7′
12′
L. Amos 1–1
2–1 C. Chaplin
A. Mowatt
18′
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Bähre
31′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 C. Chaplin
C. Woodrow
52′
54′
L. Amos 3–2
56′
🔁 N. Wells
↦ L. Wallace
4–2 C. Woodrow
60′
67′
🔁 I. Chair
↦ G. Cameron
Luke Thomas 🟨
68′
Jacob Brown 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Ilias Chair
5–2 Bambo Diaby
J. Brown
82′
C. McGeehan 🔁
↦ C. Oduor
83′
Kenneth Dougall 🟨
84′
Alex Mowatt 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Nahki Wells
89′
🟨 Grant Hall
94′
I. Chair 5–3
B. Osayi-Samuel
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-3-1-2
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
6 M. Andersen D
2 J. Williams D
5 Bambo Diaby D
4 K. Dougall M
10 M. Bähre M
27 A. Mowatt M
9 C. Woodrow M
11 C. Chaplin F
7 J. Brown F
22 C. Oduor D
Bench (7)
16 L. Thomas
8 C. McGeehan
40 B. Collins
21 T. Sibbick
26 M. Thiam
32 D. Mottley-Henry
37 A. Marsh

Coach: A. Murray

QPR

4-3-1-2
1 J. Lumley G
3 L. Wallace D
5 G. Cameron M
4 G. Hall D
37 T. Leistner D
2 T. Kane D
14 R. Manning M
20 B. Osayi-Samuel F
8 L. Amos M
10 E. Eze M
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
21 N. Wells
19 I. Chair
7 M. Pugh
6 M. Smith
16 J. Mlakar
12 D. Ball
33 D. Barnes

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,54
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.