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Championship
Referee: D England
Birmingham
U U U S T
2–3
Full-time
West Brom
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 50%
38%
62%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
38%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
48%
71%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 15. · West Brom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 21 14 4 3 +22 46
2 West Brom 21 13 7 1 +21 46
3 Bristol City 21 9 8 4 +4 35
4 Fulham 20 10 4 6 +10 34
5 Nott'm Forest 20 9 7 4 +10 34
6 Preston 21 10 4 7 +7 34
7 Sheffield Weds 21 9 6 6 +9 33
8 Swansea 20 8 7 5 +3 31
9 Blackburn 21 9 4 8 +0 31
10 QPR 21 9 4 8 -5 31
11 Brentford 20 9 3 8 +12 30
12 Hull 22 8 6 8 +3 30
13 Cardiff 20 8 6 6 +2 30
14 Millwall 21 7 9 5 -1 30
15 Birmingham 21 8 4 9 -6 28
16 Derby 21 6 8 7 -6 26
17 Charlton 22 6 6 10 -2 24
18 Reading 20 6 4 10 -2 22
19 Huddersfield 21 5 6 10 -10 21
20 Middlesbrough 21 4 9 8 -10 21
21 Luton 21 6 2 13 -17 20
22 Stoke 21 5 2 14 -11 17
23 Wigan 21 4 5 12 -15 17
24 Barnsley 21 2 7 12 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham West Brom
1–0 L. Jutkiewicz
M. Colin
3′
10′
G. Diangana 1–1
M. Phillips
40′
🔁 K. Edwards
↦ G. Diangana
Half-time 2–1
2–1 H. Dean
J. Bellingham
47′
Lukas Jutkiewicz 🟨
52′
57′
🟨 Jake Livermore
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 D. Furlong
↦ C. Townsend
70′
🔁 C. Austin
↦ M. Phillips
73′
C. Austin 2–2
J. Livermore
G. Gardner 🔁
↦ J. Bellingham
74′
81′
C. Austin 2–3
D. Furlong
J. Montero 🔁
↦ Jérémie Bela
84′
J. McEachran 🔁
↦ I. Šunjić
84′
90′
🟨 Charlie Austin
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-4-2
27 C. Trueman G
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
3 K. Pedersen D
43 G. Bajrami D
26 D. Davis M
11 Jérémie Bela M
34 I. Šunjić M
22 J. Bellingham M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
24 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (7)
20 G. Gardner
15 J. Montero
16 J. McEachran
19 J. Maghoma
2 W. Harding
1 L. Camp
17 Fran Villalba

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
14 C. Townsend D
6 S. Ajayi D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
29 G. Diangana M
36 N. Ferguson D
4 H. Robson-Kanu F
12 Matheus Pereira M
Bench (7)
21 K. Edwards
2 D. Furlong
15 C. Austin
18 G. Barry
23 J. Bond
7 F. Krovinović
26 Ahmed Hegazi

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,02
U
3,64
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.