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Serie A

Referee: G Rocchi

Lazio

T S T S U

3–3

Full-time

Atalanta

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

43%

71%

Points per game

1,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

57%

86%

Both score Ø 65%

43%

86%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,9

2,6

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 6. · Atalanta 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+7	19
2	Inter	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Atalanta	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Napoli	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Roma	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+7	11
7	Cagliari	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Fiorentina	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Torino	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Verona	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Bologna	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Parma	7	3	0	4	-2	9
13	Milan	7	3	0	4	-3	9
14	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Sassuolo	6	2	0	4	-1	6
16	Brescia	6	2	0	4	-2	6
17	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
18	Lecce	7	2	0	5	-8	6
19	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-7	5
20	Sampdoria	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Torino	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sassuolo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Parma	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Udinese	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Verona	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Bologna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Milan	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Lecce	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Napoli	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Cagliari	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Roma	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Milan	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Bologna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Fiorentina	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Verona	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Sassuolo	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Spal	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.