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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Werder Bremen
S S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Hertha
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
86%
57%
Average goals
4,0
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 11. · Hertha 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 7 5 1 1 +9 16
2 Wolfsburg 7 4 3 0 +6 15
3 Bayern Munich 7 4 2 1 +12 14
4 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 RB Leipzig 7 4 2 1 +8 14
6 Schalke 04 7 4 2 1 +7 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Leverkusen 8 4 2 2 +1 14
9 Dortmund 7 3 3 1 +8 12
10 Hertha 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Werder Bremen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 -5 8
13 Mainz 7 2 0 5 -10 6
14 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -11 5
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Union Berlin 7 1 1 5 -7 4
17 FC Koln 7 1 1 5 -11 4
18 Paderborn 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Hertha
1–0 J. Sargent
M. Eggestein
7′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ J. Dilrosun
57′
🟨 Lukas Klünter
70′
D. Lukébakio 1–1
M. Mittelstädt
J. Eggestein 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
74′
77′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ V. Ibišević
Leonardo Bittencourt 🟨
80′
P. Bargfrede 🔁
↦ N. Şahin
81′
C. Pizarro 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
87′
90′
🔁 J. Torunarigha
↦ P. Skjelbred
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
17 N. Şahin M
36 C. Groß D
30 D. Klaassen M
10 L. Bittencourt F
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (7)
24 J. Eggestein
44 P. Bargfrede
14 C. Pizarro
27 S. Kapino
39 B. Goller
15 S. Langkamp
4 M. Lang

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
20 D. Boyata D
4 K. Rekik D
13 L. Klünter D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
3 P. Skjelbred M
6 V. Darida M
15 M. Grujić M
19 V. Ibišević F
30 M. Wolf M
16 J. Dilrosun M
Bench (9)
28 D. Lukébakio
27 D. Selke
25 J. Torunarigha
10 O. Duda
1 T. Kraft
34 M. Covic
21 M. Plattenhardt
8 S. Kalou
14 P. Köpke

Coach: A. Čović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,68
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.