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Super League
Referee: N Hänni
Basel
S U S S U
3–1
Full-time
Thun
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Thun
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,2
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-2,2
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
70%
10%
Points per game
2,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
60%
30%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,4
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 1. · Thun 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 10 7 2 1 +16 23
2 Young Boys 10 6 4 0 +13 22
3 St. Gallen 10 5 2 3 +5 17
4 Sion 10 5 1 4 +1 16
5 Luzern 10 3 3 4 -2 12
6 Servette 10 2 5 3 +0 11
7 Zurich 10 3 2 5 -14 11
8 Lugano 10 2 3 5 -1 9
9 Xamax 10 1 5 4 -6 8
10 Thun 10 1 3 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Aug -19 Thun – Basel 2–3

Match report

Basel Thun
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Bua
50′
53′
🟨 Kenan Fatkic
67′
S. Rapp 1–1
71′
🟨 Miguel Castroman
1–2 S. Rapp
own goal
72′
73′
🔁 U. Vasic
↦ N. Hefti
A. Pululu 🔁
↦ Arthur Cabral
76′
76′
🔁 Saleh Chihadeh
↦ S. Rapp
2–2 L. Zuffi
78′
S. Campo 🔁
↦ L. Zuffi
82′
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ V. Stocker
84′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-4-1-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi F
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
33 K. Bua M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
19 A. Pululu
10 S. Campo
30 E. Zhegrova
13 Đ. Nikolić
32 Y. Marchand
15 B. Riveros
36 E. Bergström

Coach: M. Koller

Thun

4-5-1
1 G. Faivre G
31 S. Glarner D
34 N. Sutter D
14 R. Gelmi D
20 C. Kablan D
11 M. Tosetti M
7 M. Castroman M
10 B. Stillhart M
6 K. Fatkic M
29 N. Hefti M
13 S. Rapp F
Bench (7)
21 U. Vasic
33 Saleh Chihadeh
19 J. Roth
39 S. Joss
30 A. Hirzel
5 N. Havenaar
37 D. Salanović

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.