Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Pescara
Spezia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benevento
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Crotone
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |
Empoli
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |
Salernitana
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |
Perugia
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
Ascoli
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 7 |
Cittadella
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Pordenone | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |
Virtus Entella
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Chievo
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Pescara
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Cremonese
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
Pisa
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 14 |
Venezia
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Cosenza
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 |
Frosinone
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Livorno | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Trapani | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 |
Juve Stabia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ascoli
Pescara
Pescara
Crotone
Cittadella
Pescara
Pescara
Virtus Entella
Cosenza
Pescara
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.