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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Kortrijk
T T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Waregem
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kortrijk 12. · Waregem 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 10 2 0 +26 32
2 Standard 12 8 2 2 +18 26
3 Genk 13 7 2 4 +8 23
4 Antwerp 10 6 2 2 +11 20
5 Gent 11 6 2 3 +9 20
6 Mechelen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
7 Waregem 11 4 5 2 +6 17
8 Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 St Truiden 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Kortrijk 11 3 2 6 -1 11
13 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
14 Oostende 11 3 2 6 -9 11
15 Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
16 Waasland-Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
17 Eupen 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Waregem
14′
🟨 Gideon Mensah
1–0 I. Mboyo
14′
Christophe Lepoint 🟨
19′
34′
🟨 Saido Berahino
38′
🟨 Saido Berahino
38′
🟥 Saido Berahino
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Baudry
↦ H. Bjørdal
2–0 H. Van der Bruggen
53′
67′
🟨 Olivier Deschacht
J. Stojanović 🔁
↦ C. Lepoint
71′
79′
🔁 D. Oberlin
↦ E. Pletinckx
A. Ajagun 🔁
↦ F. Hornby
86′
L. Azouni 🔁
↦ E. Ocansey
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bruzzese G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
15 C. Lepoint M
30 K. D'Haene F
6 L. Rougeaux D
3 B. Hines-Ike D
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
23 J. De Sart M
7 I. Mboyo F
51 E. Ocansey F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (7)
11 J. Stojanović
8 A. Ajagun
5 L. Azouni
21 A. Jakubech
55 V. Kovačević
18 N. Mujakić
2 P. Golubović

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Waregem

4-4-2
1 S. Bossut G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
4 G. Mensah M
24 E. Pletinckx D
21 I. Seck M
20 H. Bjørdal M
6 A. Sissako M
19 G. Bruno F
38 S. Berahino F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
3 M. Baudry
27 D. Oberlin
23 M. Bürki
7 L. Zarandia
10 O. Govea
25 L. Bostyn
14 S. Walsh

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,81
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.