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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Utrecht

T S U S T

3–0

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,7

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 61%

44%

78%

Points per game

1,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 78%

89%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

1,9

2,9

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

17 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+24	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	2	0	+20	23
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	+13	20
4	Vitesse	9	6	2	1	+5	20
5	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+5	16
6	Willem II	10	5	1	4	-2	16
7	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	3	2	+2	15
8	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+4	14
9	Heracles	9	4	2	3	-1	14
10	Feyenoord	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Twente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Groningen	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	VVV Venlo	9	3	0	6	-10	9
14	Zwolle	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	FC Emmen	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Den Haag	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	For Sittard	9	1	3	5	-11	6
18	Waalwijk	10	0	1	9	-22	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
4	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+8	10
5	Sparta Rotterdam	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+5	9
7	Feyenoord	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Heerenveen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Heracles	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Willem II	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Twente	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Heerenveen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Willem II	5	3	0	2	-1	9
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	-2	7
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	VVV Venlo	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
17	Waalwijk	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.