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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Nimes
U S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
33%
78%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 15. · Amiens 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +16 24
2 Nantes 9 6 1 2 +4 19
3 Angers 9 5 1 3 +1 16
4 Bordeaux 9 4 3 2 +5 15
5 Lille 9 4 3 2 +4 15
6 Reims 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Montpellier 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Marseille 9 3 4 2 -1 13
9 Nice 10 4 1 5 -4 13
10 Rennes 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Amiens 9 3 2 4 -2 11
12 Brest 9 2 5 2 -3 11
13 St Etienne 9 3 2 4 -5 11
14 Lyon 10 2 4 4 +5 10
15 Nimes 9 2 3 4 -2 9
16 Monaco 9 2 3 4 -4 9
17 Strasbourg 9 2 3 4 -4 9
18 Dijon 10 2 3 5 -5 9
19 Toulouse 9 2 3 4 -6 9
20 Metz 9 2 2 5 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Amiens
Lamine Fomba 🟨
24′
29′
🟨 Stiven Mendoza
30′
🟨 Sehrou Guirassy
1–0 P. Martinez
R. Philippoteaux
41′
Half-time 1–0
S. Sarr 🔁
↦ S. Alakouch
51′
L. Buadés 🔁
↦ H. Duljević
65′
66′
🔁 F. Diabaté
↦ F. Otero
76′
🟨 Haitam Aleesami
Anthony Briancon 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 M. Bodmer
↦ A. Blin
90′
🟨 Bakaye Dibassy
A. Valério 🔁
↦ T. Valls
93′
95′
A. Calabresi 1–1
98′
🔁 M. Talal
↦ S. Mendoza
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nimes

4-2-3-1
16 L. Dias G
4 P. Martinez D
23 A. Briançon D
15 G. Paquiez D
29 S. Alakouch D
7 R. Philippoteaux M
18 T. Valls M
12 L. Fomba M
17 H. Duljević M
20 R. Ripart M
27 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
6 S. Sarr
19 L. Buadés
33 A. Valério
5 L. Landre
3 T. Sainte-Luce
24 S. Ben Amar
35 V. Rabouille

Coach: B. Blaquart

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
12 B. Dibassy D
3 A. Calabresi D
10 G. Kakuta M
20 S. Mendoza M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
9 S. Guirassy F
11 F. Otero M
Bench (7)
28 F. Diabaté
24 M. Bodmer
22 M. Talal
16 M. Dreyer
35 V. Gendrey
25 J. Lefort
38 U. Ella

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
3,34
B
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.