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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Lazio
T S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Atalanta
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 58%
58%
58%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
53%
68%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 4. · Atalanta 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 18 15 0 3 +25 45
2 Roma 19 13 2 4 +22 41
3 Napoli 19 11 5 3 +20 38
4 Lazio 19 11 4 4 +12 37
5 Inter 20 11 3 6 +10 36
6 Milan 18 11 3 4 +8 36
7 Atalanta 19 11 2 6 +9 35
8 Torino 19 8 5 6 +9 29
9 Fiorentina 18 7 6 5 +4 27
10 Cagliari 20 8 2 10 -13 26
11 Udinese 19 7 4 8 -1 25
12 Chievo 20 7 4 9 -6 25
13 Sampdoria 19 6 5 8 -4 23
14 Genoa 20 6 5 9 -5 23
15 Bologna 19 6 5 8 -7 23
16 Sassuolo 19 5 3 11 -9 18
17 Empoli 19 4 5 10 -15 17
18 Palermo 19 2 4 13 -20 10
19 Pescara 18 1 6 11 -19 9
20 Crotone 19 2 3 14 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Atalanta
Ciro Immobile 🟨
21′
21′
A. Petagna 0–1
R. Freuler
28′
🔁 A. Grassi
↦ A. Konko
Marco Parolo 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Milinković-Savić
S. Lulić
46′
55′
🟨 Andrea Conti
Patric 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
55′
Senad Lulić 🟨
59′
2–1 C. Immobile
68′
74′
🔁 A. Paloschi
↦ J. Kurtič
78′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ E. Zukanović
Wallace 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
82′
F. Đorđević 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
86′
Lucas Biglia 🟨
87′
Sergej Milinković-Savić 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.