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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Valerenga
U T T U U
0–2
Full-time
Stabaek
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 9. · Stabaek 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 24 16 5 3 +31 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 14 6 4 +20 48
3 Odd 24 13 6 5 +10 45
4 Rosenborg 25 11 8 6 +8 41
5 Viking 24 10 7 7 +8 37
6 Brann 24 9 8 7 +5 35
7 Kristiansund 25 9 8 8 +0 35
8 Haugesund 24 7 10 7 +5 31
9 Valerenga 24 7 8 9 -1 29
10 Lillestrom 24 7 6 11 -9 27
11 Stabaek 24 6 8 10 -6 26
12 Tromso 24 7 4 13 -18 25
13 Sarpsborg 08 24 4 11 9 -7 23
14 Stromsgodset 24 6 5 13 -16 23
15 Mjondalen 24 4 10 10 -14 22
16 Ranheim 24 5 6 13 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stabaek
6′
Sammy Skytte 0–1
17′
Luc Kassi 0–2
Herolind Shala 🔁
↦ Deyver Vega
31′
Half-time 0–2
55′
🔁 Kristoffer Askildsen
↦ Tortol Lumanza
Aron Dønnum 🟨
57′
67′
🔁 Hugo Vetlesen
↦ Youssef Toutouh
Mohammed Fellah 🔁
↦ Magnus Lekven
68′
Aron Dønnum 🟨
74′
Aron Dønnum 🟥
74′
76′
🔁 Kasper Junker
↦ Daniel Braaten
Sam Adekugbe 🔁
↦ Ivan Nasberg
81′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 Adam Kwarasey G
33 Amin Nouri D
3 Johan Bjørdal D
27 Pierre Kanstrup D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
14 Mohammed Abu M
8 Magnus Lekven M
7 Deyver Vega M
26 Aron Dønnum M
11 Bard Finne M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson F
Bench (7)
13 Kristoffer Klaesson
25 Sam Adekugbe
23 Felix Horn Myhre
6 Herolind Shala
28 Ousmane Camara
29 Mohammed Fellah
9 Mayron George

Coach: R. Deila

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 Marcus Sandberg G
2 Ronald Hernández D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
18 Jeppe Moe D
6 Luc Kassi M
22 Sammy Skytte M
67 Tortol Lumanza M
10 Youssef Toutouh M
17 Daniel Braaten F
20 Ola Brynhildsen F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
5 Steinar Stromnes
14 Kristoffer Askildsen
25 Hugo Vetlesen
21 Kasper Junker
19 Kosuke Kinoshita
30 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

Coach: J. Jönsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.