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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
S U U T U
3–2
Full-time
Cracovia
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
55%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 69%
64%
73%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 9. · Cracovia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 12 7 3 2 +6 24
2 Wisla Plock 12 7 1 4 -2 22
3 Piast Gliwice 12 6 3 3 +5 21
4 Cracovia 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Legia 12 6 2 4 +2 20
6 Lechia Gdansk 11 5 4 2 +4 19
7 Lech Poznan 12 5 3 4 +7 18
8 Slask Wroclaw 11 4 6 1 +4 18
9 Jagiellonia 11 4 5 2 +6 17
10 Zaglebie 12 4 3 5 +2 15
11 Gornik Zabrze 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Rakow 11 4 0 7 -4 12
13 Wisla 12 3 2 7 -3 11
14 Arka Gdynia 11 2 3 6 -10 9
15 Korona Kielce 12 2 2 8 -12 8
16 LKS Lodz 11 2 1 8 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.