Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jagiellonia
Cracovia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 |
Wisla Plock
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 22 |
| 3 |
Piast Gliwice
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |
Cracovia
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 |
Legia
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |
Lech Poznan
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |
Rakow
|
11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Slask Wroclaw
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Legia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.