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Serie B

Benevento

S S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Perugia

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

14%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 7

14 Free kicks against 21

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Benevento 1. · Perugia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Crotone	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Empoli	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Salernitana	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Perugia	7	4	2	1	+2	14
6	Ascoli	7	4	0	3	+7	12
7	Venezia	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Virtus Entella	8	3	3	2	-1	12
9	Cittadella	8	4	0	4	-3	12
10	Pordenone	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Chievo	7	2	4	1	+2	10
12	Pescara	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Pisa	7	2	3	2	+3	9
15	Cosenza	8	1	4	3	-1	7
16	Spezia	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Juve Stabia	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Frosinone	7	1	3	3	-5	6
19	Trapani	8	1	2	5	-5	5
20	Livorno	7	1	1	5	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pordenone	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Perugia	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Ascoli	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Empoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Crotone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Benevento	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Virtus Entella	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Cittadella	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Frosinone	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Pisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Pescara	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Chievo	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Livorno	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Juve Stabia	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Cosenza	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Trapani	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Spezia	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Benevento	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Crotone	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Pescara	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Spezia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Cittadella	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Pisa	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Empoli	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Virtus Entella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Trapani	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Juve Stabia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Perugia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
17	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	+2	3
18	Livorno	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pordenone	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.