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Premiership

Referee: E Anderson

Motherwell

S S T S S

0–3

Full-time

Aberdeen

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

63%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 3. · Aberdeen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	7	0	1	+21	21
2	Celtic	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Motherwell	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Aberdeen	8	3	3	2	+0	12
5	Ross County	8	3	3	2	-1	12
6	Livingston	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Kilmarnock	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Hamilton	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Hearts	8	1	3	4	-4	6
10	Hibernian	8	1	3	4	-10	6
11	St Mirren	8	1	2	5	-5	5
12	ST Johnstone	8	0	4	4	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	5	4	0	1	+15	12
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Aberdeen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Ross County	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Livingston	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Motherwell	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Hamilton	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Hearts	4	0	2	2	-2	2
12	ST Johnstone	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Motherwell	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Rangers	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Kilmarnock	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Ross County	4	1	2	1	-2	5
6	Livingston	4	1	1	2	+0	4
7	Hearts	4	1	1	2	-2	4
8	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
9	ST Johnstone	4	0	3	1	-7	3
10	Hamilton	4	0	2	2	-8	2
11	Hibernian	4	0	1	3	-10	1
12	St Mirren	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.