Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 |
Piast Gliwice
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 3 |
Cracovia
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |
Wisla Plock
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 |
Lech Poznan
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 |
Legia
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |
Rakow
|
11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
LKS Lodz
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Slask Wroclaw
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Wisla
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.