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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
Panetolikos
T T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Larisa
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
0,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,5
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 15. · Larisa 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 7 6 1 0 +11 19
2 PAOK 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Xanthi 6 5 0 1 +3 15
4 OFI Crete 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 Volos NFC 7 4 0 3 -4 12
6 Larisa 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 AEK 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Atromitos 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Aris 6 1 2 3 +1 5
10 Aris Thessalonikis 6 1 2 3 +1 5
11 Panathinaikos 7 1 2 4 -10 5
12 Lamia 6 0 4 2 -4 4
13 Panionios 6 1 1 4 -5 4
14 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 0 5 -5 3
15 Panetolikos 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Larisa
26′
A. Michail 0–1
V. Moras
1–1 J. Díaz
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Dauda
↦ M. Nunič
Frederico Duarte 🔁
↦ G. Ariyibi
55′
68′
🔁 F. Andoni
↦ A. Šećerović
Joan Román 🔁
↦ Dálcio
73′
Vlad Morar 🟨
74′
A. Bajrovic 🔁
↦ V. Morar
77′
2–1 A. Bajrovic
Frederico Duarte
77′
Admir Bajrović 🟨
78′
Rasmus Sjostedt 🟨
80′
80′
V. Moras 2–2
E. Kaçe
85′
🟨 Radomir Milosavljević
Pierre Sagna 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 J. Assoubre
↦ Amr Warda
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
31 N. Giannakopoulos G
5 I. Jovanović D
91 J. Martial D
21 P. Sagna D
92 R. Sjöstedt M
18 A. Lucero M
6 A. Tahar M
11 J. Díaz M
10 Dálcio M
7 V. Morar F
12 G. Ariyibi M
Bench (7)
14 Frederico Duarte
33 Joan Román
9 A. Bajrovic
37 A. Tsigaras
3 L. Balbi
1 C. Knett
54 G. Liavas

Coach: I. Chavos

Larisa

5-3-2
1 Ö. Kristinsson G
18 V. Moras D
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
88 N. Stanković D
28 S. Bralić D
26 E. Kaçe M
7 Amr Warda F
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
33 M. Nunič F
Bench (7)
9 A. Dauda
64 F. Andoni
23 J. Assoubre
99 B. Ristić
30 S. Živković
14 N. Golias
20 N. Karanikas

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,02
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.