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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Spal

T T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Lazio

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 17. · Lazio 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Verona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Genoa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.