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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S U

2–4

Full-time

Heerenveen

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 39%

33%

44%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

70% Possession 30%

17 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Heerenveen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	2	0	+23	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	2	0	+20	23
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	2	1	+15	20
4	Vitesse	9	6	2	1	+5	20
5	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Heracles	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Feyenoord	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Willem II	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Twente	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Groningen	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	VVV Venlo	9	3	0	6	-10	9
14	Zwolle	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	FC Emmen	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Den Haag	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	For Sittard	9	1	3	5	-11	6
18	Waalwijk	9	0	1	8	-21	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
4	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+10	10
5	Sparta Rotterdam	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+5	9
7	Feyenoord	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Heerenveen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Heracles	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Willem II	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
15	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+8	11
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	VVV Venlo	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
17	Waalwijk	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.