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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Valencia

T S U S S

0–0

Full-time

Celta

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,58 xG 0,66

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
2	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.3	4
3	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
4	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
9	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
11	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
12	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
13	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
14	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
3	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
8	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
2	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
3	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
4	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
5	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
6	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
7	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
8	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
9	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.