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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Burgos
U T T S T
2–3
Full-time
Levante
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
33%
55%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 12. · Levante 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 40 21 8 11 +17 71
4 Oviedo 40 19 12 9 +12 69
5 Santander 40 19 10 11 +13 67
6 Almeria 40 18 11 11 +15 65
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
10 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
11 Cordoba 40 14 12 14 -1 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Castellon 40 13 11 16 +0 50
17 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
18 Zaragoza 40 12 12 16 -5 48
19 Eldense 40 11 11 18 -18 44
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Levante
1–0 Fer Niño
Iñigo Córdoba
1′
18′
Pablo Martínez
penalty missed
21′
José Luis Morales 1–1
Adrián de la Fuente
2–1 Fer Niño
David González
35′
Half-time 2–1
54′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
56′
🔁 Álex Forés
↦ Pablo Martínez
56′
🔁 G. Kochorashvili
↦ Vicente Iborra
59′
🟨 Unai Elguezabal
72′
🔁 Carlos Espí
↦ Ignasi Miquel
72′
🔁 Sergio Lozano
↦ Ángel Algobia
Pipa 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
76′
Marcelo Expósito 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
76′
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ David González
76′
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
83′
85′
Roger Brugué 2–2
José Luis Morales
F. Mimbacas 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
90′
97′
Carlos Álvarez 2–3
Carlos Espí
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
3 F. Miguel D
21 Iñigo Córdoba D
11 Álex Sancris M
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
14 David González M
19 Edu Espiau F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
20 Pipa
33 Marcelo Expósito
10 Borja Sánchez
6 Raúl Navarro
17 F. Mimbacas
37 Marc Monedero
1 Tomeu Nadal
15 G. Barès
24 N. Miličić
22 Elady
46 Rubén Quintanilla
2 G. Konan

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Levante

4-4-2
1 Andrés Fernández G
4 Adrián de la Fuente D
5 Unai Elgezabal D
18 Ignasi Miquel D
16 Diego Pampín D
24 Carlos Álvarez M
10 Vicente Iborra M
8 Ángel Algobia M
23 Pablo Martínez M
7 Roger Brugué F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (12)
19 Álex Forés
6 G. Kochorashvili
38 Carlos Espí
21 Sergio Lozano
9 Iván Romero
22 Manu Sánchez
32 Álex Primo
31 Xavi Grande
13 Alfonso Pastor
29 Marcos Navarro
30 Víctor Fernández
14 Jorge Cabello

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,20
U
3,39
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.