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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Levante
S T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Alaves
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 20%
17%
22%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 10
8 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 20. · Alaves 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 36 26 6 4 +49 84
2 Barcelona 36 21 9 6 +32 72
3 Ath Madrid 36 20 7 9 +21 67
4 Sevilla 36 17 15 4 +22 66
5 Betis 36 18 7 11 +20 61
6 Sociedad 36 16 11 9 +3 59
7 Villarreal 36 15 11 10 +25 56
8 Ath Bilbao 36 13 13 10 +6 52
9 Osasuna 36 12 11 13 -10 47
10 Valencia 37 10 15 12 -7 45
11 Celta 36 11 10 15 +1 43
12 Vallecano 36 11 9 16 -8 42
13 Espanol 37 10 11 16 -13 41
14 Elche 36 10 9 17 -13 39
15 Getafe 36 8 14 14 -6 38
16 Granada 36 8 13 15 -15 37
17 Cadiz 36 7 14 15 -17 35
18 Mallorca 36 8 9 19 -30 33
19 Alaves 36 8 7 21 -31 31
20 Levante 36 6 11 19 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Alaves
José Campaña 🟨
17′
José Luis Morales 🟨
29′
Marcelo Saracchi 🟨
35′
36′
Joselu 0–1
Laguardia
38′
🟨 Pere Pons
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Ó. Duarte
Morales
53′
54′
🟨 Miguel de la Fuente
56′
🔁 Edgar Méndez
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
57′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Jason
Mickaël Malsa 🟨
58′
Dani Gómez 🔁
↦ M. Malsa
66′
Pepelu 🔁
↦ Cantero
66′
70′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Pere Pons
71′
🟨 Edgar Méndez
2–1 Roger Martí
74′
Soldado 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
76′
Coke 🔁
↦ M. Saracchi
76′
Miramón 🔁
↦ E. Bardhi
80′
80′
🔁 Marc Ureña
↦ Laguardia
80′
🔁 N. Tenaglia
↦ Rubén Duarte
Son 🟨
81′
Roberto Soldado 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Gonzalo Escalante
89′
🟨 Marc Tenas
Óscar Duarte 🟨
90′
Coke 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
3–1 Morales
Campaña
95′
97′
🟨 Gonzalo Escalante
97′
🟥 Gonzalo Escalante
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
45 Primo G
6 Ó. Duarte D
14 Rúben Vezo D
2 Son D
25 M. Saracchi D
24 Campaña M
11 Morales M
12 M. Malsa M
10 E. Bardhi F
9 Roger Martí F
29 Cantero M
Bench (12)
21 Dani Gómez
8 Pepelu
16 Soldado
23 Coke
20 Miramón
17 N. Vukčević
5 N. Radoja
22 Melero
15 Postigo
3 Enric Franquesa
4 Rober
26 Picón

Coach: A. Lisci

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
16 G. Escalante M
20 Pere Pons M
25 Jason M
9 Joselu F
11 Luis Rioja M
24 Miguel de la Fuente M
Bench (12)
17 Edgar Méndez
14 Manu García
7 Manu Vallejo
40 Marc Ureña
2 N. Tenaglia
4 M. Miazga
30 Tomás Mendes
13 Sivera
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
27 Javi López
18 F. Pellistri
8 Pina

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,99
U
3,67
B
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.