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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Valladolid

T S T S T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 30%

17%

42%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

42%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 1,36

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 19. · Ath Bilbao 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+29	+16.1	33
2	Real Madrid	12	8	3	1	+14	+11.1	27
3	Ath Madrid	13	7	5	1	+12	+9.6	26
4	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+4	+4.5	24
5	Osasuna	13	6	3	4	-3	-3.6	21
6	Betis	13	5	5	3	+2	+4.2	20
7	Ath Bilbao	12	5	4	3	+6	+5.0	19
8	Mallorca	13	5	3	5	+0	+3.2	18
9	Celta	13	5	2	6	-2	+2.8	17
10	Vallecano	12	4	4	4	+0	-0.3	16
11	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+0	+2.1	15
12	Girona	12	4	3	5	-2	+3.5	15
13	Sevilla	13	4	3	6	-6	-2.8	15
14	Leganes	13	3	5	5	-3	-10.1	14
15	Alaves	13	4	1	8	-8	-4.6	13
16	Las Palmas	13	3	3	7	-6	-12.1	12
17	Getafe	12	1	7	4	-2	+1.8	10
18	Espanol	12	3	1	8	-11	-10.9	10
19	Valladolid	12	2	2	8	-15	-9.5	8
20	Valencia	11	1	4	6	-9	-9.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+11	+9.4	18
2	Osasuna	7	5	1	1	+5	+4.3	16
3	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	+9.3	15
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	+11.9	14
5	Betis	7	4	2	1	+4	+7.5	14
6	Celta	7	4	1	2	+4	+3.8	13
7	Ath Bilbao	7	3	3	1	+5	+3.2	12
8	Villarreal	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.5	11
9	Girona	6	3	1	2	+2	+2.8	10
10	Leganes	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.5	10
11	Alaves	6	3	1	2	+0	-2.4	10
12	Mallorca	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.2	9
13	Espanol	6	3	0	3	-1	-1.0	9
14	Sevilla	6	3	0	3	-2	+1.6	9
15	Getafe	6	1	5	0	+2	+5.6	8
16	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	+4.1	8
17	Las Palmas	6	1	3	2	-1	-3.8	6
18	Valencia	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.2	5
19	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.4	5
20	Sociedad	6	1	1	4	-3	+1.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+14	+6.9	18
2	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+2	+4.0	13
3	Ath Madrid	7	3	3	1	+2	-2.2	12
4	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	+0.3	11
5	Real Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.6	9
6	Mallorca	6	3	0	3	+0	+2.0	9
7	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.4	8
8	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.7	7
9	Betis	6	1	3	2	-2	-3.2	6
10	Sevilla	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.4	6
11	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-5	-8.3	6
12	Girona	6	1	2	3	-4	+0.6	5
13	Osasuna	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.0	5
14	Leganes	7	0	4	3	-5	-10.6	4
15	Celta	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.1	4
16	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-8	-2.3	3
17	Valladolid	6	1	0	5	-13	-8.1	3
18	Getafe	6	0	2	4	-4	-3.8	2
19	Valencia	6	0	2	4	-9	-8.6	2
20	Espanol	6	0	1	5	-10	-9.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.