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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Ath Bilbao

U U U U S

2–2

Full-time

Valladolid

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,2

1,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 24%

31%

16%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

41%

34%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

59%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Valladolid 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	33	22	7	4	+38	73
2	Barcelona	32	22	5	5	+47	71
3	Real Madrid	33	21	8	4	+32	71
4	Sevilla	33	22	4	7	+23	70
5	Sociedad	33	14	11	8	+17	53
6	Betis	33	14	8	11	-3	50
7	Villarreal	33	12	13	8	+12	49
8	Granada	32	12	6	14	-12	42
9	Ath Bilbao	32	10	11	11	+7	41
10	Celta	33	10	11	12	-7	41
11	Osasuna	33	10	10	13	-8	40
12	Levante	33	9	11	13	-8	38
13	Cadiz	33	9	10	14	-21	37
14	Valencia	33	8	12	13	-7	36
15	Getafe	33	8	10	15	-13	34
16	Alaves	33	7	10	16	-21	31
17	Elche	33	6	12	15	-20	30
18	Valladolid	32	5	14	13	-14	29
19	Huesca	33	5	12	16	-19	27
20	Eibar	33	4	11	18	-23	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Barcelona	16	11	4	1	+26	37
3	Sevilla	16	12	1	3	+15	37
4	Real Madrid	16	11	2	3	+17	35
5	Granada	16	9	3	4	+4	30
6	Betis	17	8	5	4	+4	29
7	Ath Bilbao	16	8	4	4	+11	28
8	Sociedad	17	7	6	4	+8	27
9	Valencia	16	6	7	3	+6	25
10	Villarreal	16	6	6	4	+3	24
11	Celta	16	7	3	6	-2	24
12	Osasuna	17	6	5	6	-2	23
13	Levante	17	5	7	5	-3	22
14	Getafe	17	5	6	6	+2	21
15	Elche	16	4	8	4	-4	20
16	Alaves	17	5	5	7	-6	20
17	Cadiz	17	4	5	8	-12	17
18	Huesca	16	3	6	7	-6	15
19	Valladolid	16	3	6	7	-8	15
20	Eibar	16	1	6	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
2	Barcelona	16	11	1	4	+21	34
3	Sevilla	17	10	3	4	+8	33
4	Ath Madrid	16	9	4	3	+10	31
5	Sociedad	16	7	5	4	+9	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
7	Betis	16	6	3	7	-7	21
8	Cadiz	16	5	5	6	-9	20
9	Celta	17	3	8	6	-5	17
10	Osasuna	16	4	5	7	-6	17
11	Levante	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Valladolid	16	2	8	6	-6	14
13	Eibar	17	3	5	9	-12	14
14	Ath Bilbao	16	2	7	7	-4	13
15	Getafe	16	3	4	9	-15	13
16	Huesca	17	2	6	9	-13	12
17	Granada	16	3	3	10	-16	12
18	Valencia	17	2	5	10	-13	11
19	Alaves	16	2	5	9	-15	11
20	Elche	17	2	4	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.