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Eliteserien

Referee: C Moen

Sarpsborg 08

T T S T S

2–2

Full-time

Molde

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

33%

52%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

67%

70%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

3,3

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,2

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,83 xG 2,23

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 10. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	28	17	7	4	+23	+15.5	58
2	Bodo/Glimt	27	16	7	4	+35	+21.2	55
3	Viking	27	14	8	5	+17	+15.5	50
4	Molde	27	14	6	7	+28	+18.1	48
5	Rosenborg	27	14	4	9	+7	+0.9	46
6	Fredrikstad	27	12	8	7	+2	+4.1	44
7	KFUM Oslo	27	8	10	9	-1	+5.4	34
8	Ham-Kam	27	8	9	10	+0	-4.3	33
9	Stromsgodset	27	8	8	11	-8	-7.2	32
10	Sarpsborg 08	27	9	5	13	-13	-4.8	32
11	Kristiansund	27	7	10	10	-9	-10.6	31
12	Tromso	27	8	6	13	-9	-12.3	30
13	Sandefjord	27	7	7	13	-8	-2.7	28
14	Haugesund	27	7	6	14	-16	-9.0	27
15	Lillestrom	28	7	3	18	-24	-8.4	24
16	Odd	27	5	8	14	-24	-21.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	9	4	1	+12	+10.5	31
2	Rosenborg	14	10	1	3	+12	+7.3	31
3	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	3	1	+26	+14.3	30
4	Brann	14	9	2	3	+12	+12.8	29
5	Molde	14	7	3	4	+15	+13.2	24
6	Fredrikstad	14	6	6	2	+3	+7.8	24
7	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+1	+4.4	21
8	Sandefjord	13	6	2	5	+2	+2.7	20
9	Stromsgodset	13	5	4	4	+3	+6.5	19
10	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	+2	-1.5	16
11	Tromso	14	4	4	6	+1	+0.8	16
12	KFUM Oslo	14	2	7	5	-5	+7.7	13
13	Haugesund	13	4	1	8	-8	+0.5	13
14	Odd	14	3	4	7	-11	-6.4	13
15	Lillestrom	14	3	3	8	-11	-1.0	12
16	Sarpsborg 08	13	3	2	8	-11	-0.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	14	8	5	1	+11	+2.6	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+9	+6.9	25
3	Molde	13	7	3	3	+13	+4.9	24
4	KFUM Oslo	13	6	3	4	+4	-2.3	21
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	-2	-4.5	21
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	2	5	-1	-3.7	20
7	Viking	13	5	4	4	+5	+4.9	19
8	Ham-Kam	14	4	5	5	-2	-2.8	17
9	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-5	-6.4	15
10	Haugesund	14	3	5	6	-8	-9.5	14
11	Tromso	13	4	2	7	-10	-13.1	14
12	Stromsgodset	14	3	4	7	-11	-13.7	13
13	Lillestrom	14	4	0	10	-13	-7.4	12
14	Kristiansund	14	2	4	8	-10	-15.0	10
15	Odd	13	2	4	7	-13	-14.8	10
16	Sandefjord	14	1	5	8	-10	-5.5	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.