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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Rangers
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Hearts
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 10/12 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 49%
30%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
12 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 3. · Hearts 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 10 1 0 +28 31
2 Aberdeen 11 10 1 0 +14 31
3 Rangers 10 6 1 3 +7 19
4 Dundee United 12 5 4 3 +5 19
5 Motherwell 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 St Mirren 13 4 3 6 -5 15
7 Dundee 12 3 3 6 -6 12
8 Kilmarnock 12 3 3 6 -10 12
9 Ross County 13 2 6 5 -11 12
10 ST Johnstone 13 3 1 9 -11 10
11 Hearts 12 2 3 7 -5 9
12 Hibernian 12 1 5 6 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Aug -24 Hearts – Rangers 0–0 18. May -24 Hearts – Rangers 3–3 24. Feb -24 Rangers – Hearts 5–0 6. Dec -23 Hearts – Rangers 0–1 29. Oct -23 Rangers – Hearts 2–1

Match report

Rangers Hearts
1–0 C. Dessers ⚽
J. Tavernier
6′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Cameron Devlin
67′
🟨 Daniel Oyegoke
D. Sterling 🔁
↦ C. Barron
68′
N. Kasanwirjo 🔁
↦ J. Tavernier
69′
69′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ A. Forrest
69′
🔁 B. Baningime
↦ M. Boateng
Mohammed Diomande 🟨
74′
Danilo 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
78′
78′
🔁 M. Drammeh
↦ C. Devlin
Dujon Sterling 🟨
80′
K. Dowell 🔁
↦ V. Černý
85′
R. McCausland 🔁
↦ N. Bajrami
85′
89′
🟨 Yan Dhanda
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
5 J. Souttar D
27 L. Balogun D
22 Jefté D
8 C. Barron M
43 N. Raskin M
18 V. Černý M
10 M. Diomande M
14 N. Bajrami M
9 C. Dessers F
Bench (9)
21 D. Sterling
24 N. Kasanwirjo
99 Danilo
20 K. Dowell
45 R. McCausland
29 H. Igamane
30 I. Hagi
31 L. Kelly
4 R. Pröpper

Coach: P. Clement

Hearts

4-4-1-1
1 C. Gordon G
5 D. Oyegoke D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
17 A. Forrest M
18 M. Boateng M
14 C. Devlin M
16 B. Spittal M
9 L. Shankland F
77 K. Vargas F
Bench (9)
20 Y. Dhanda
6 B. Baningime
37 M. Drammeh
28 Z. Clark
4 C. Halkett
3 S. Kingsley
35 A. Forrester
21 J. Wilson
7 J. Grant

Coach: N. Critchley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
🔒
U
4,81
🔒
B
7,03
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,55
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,36
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.