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Super League
Referee: S Jablonski
PAOK
U U T S T
2–3
Full-time
Olympiakos
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 5. · Olympiakos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 11 6 3 2 +12 21
2 Aris Thessalonikis 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Aris 11 6 3 2 +7 21
4 Panetolikos 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 PAOK 11 6 2 3 +7 20
6 Panathinaikos 12 5 5 2 +3 20
7 Olympiakos 11 5 3 3 +6 18
8 OFI Crete 12 5 3 4 -2 18
9 Asteras Tripolis 12 4 5 3 +2 17
10 Atromitos 12 4 3 5 +0 15
11 Panserraikos 12 3 1 8 -8 10
12 Volos NFC 11 3 1 7 -9 10
13 Levadeiakos 12 1 6 5 -9 9
14 Athens Kallithea 12 0 7 5 -10 7
15 Lamia 12 1 4 7 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Olympiakos
32′
C. Kostoulas 0–1
Chiquinho
Tiemoué Bakayoko 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 David Carmo
Half-time 0–1
Mady Camara 🔁
↦ T. Bakayoko
46′
G. Konstantelias 🔁
↦ K. Despodov
46′
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
46′
50′
A. El Kaabi 0–2
Gelson Martins
1–2 A. Baba
59′
Mady Camara 🟨
61′
65′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ C. Kostoulas
65′
🔁 S. Hezze
↦ C. Mouzakitis
69′
Gelson Martins 1–3
Chiquinho
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
74′
74′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ Dani García
F. Chalov 🔁
↦ Taison
78′
1–4 David Carmo
own goal
81′
84′
🔁 A. Apostolopoulos
↦ L. Pirola
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
6 D. Lovren D
15 O. Colley D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 T. Bakayoko M
77 K. Despodov M
11 Taison M
14 A. Živković M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
2 Mady Camara
7 G. Konstantelias
34 T. Tissoudali
22 S. Schwab
9 F. Chalov
1 J. Pavlenka
16 T. Kędziora
23 Joan Sastre
10 T. Murg

Coach: R. Lucescu

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
5 L. Pirola D
14 Dani García M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
22 Chiquinho M
84 C. Kostoulas M
10 Gelson Martins M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
32 S. Hezze
8 M. Stamenić
65 A. Apostolopoulos
4 G. Biancone
17 R. Yaremchuk
30 T. Androutsos
64 A. Papakanellos
99 A. Anagnostopoulos

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
3,13
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.