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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Lyngby

U U U T T

2–2

Full-time

Aalborg

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

29%

Points per game

0,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

29%

64%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

1,9

3,1

Scored

0,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,29 xG 1,26

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lyngby 11. · Aalborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	8	3	3	+6	+5.4	27
2	Aarhus	14	7	5	2	+14	+2.1	26
3	FC Copenhagen	14	7	5	2	+10	+10.4	26
4	Randers FC	14	6	6	2	+10	+4.6	24
5	Brondby	14	6	4	4	+8	+6.9	22
6	Silkeborg	14	5	7	2	+6	-1.4	22
7	Nordsjaelland	14	6	4	4	+2	+5.3	22
8	Viborg	14	4	5	5	+2	-3.6	17
9	Aalborg	14	4	3	7	-12	-8.3	15
10	Sonderjyske	15	3	3	9	-18	-10.9	12
11	Lyngby	14	1	6	7	-9	-3.8	9
12	Vejle	15	1	3	11	-19	-6.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	3	0	+12	+2.5	18
2	Midtjylland	7	6	0	1	+6	+5.2	18
3	Nordsjaelland	8	4	4	0	+8	+5.0	16
4	FC Copenhagen	7	4	3	0	+7	+6.4	15
5	Silkeborg	7	3	3	1	+3	+0.1	12
6	Randers FC	7	3	2	2	+4	+2.5	11
7	Brondby	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
8	Viborg	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.8	11
9	Aalborg	7	3	1	3	-5	-2.9	10
10	Sonderjyske	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.6	8
11	Lyngby	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.7	6
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	7	3	4	0	+6	+2.1	13
2	Brondby	8	3	2	3	+4	+4.3	11
3	FC Copenhagen	7	3	2	2	+3	+4.0	11
4	Silkeborg	7	2	4	1	+3	-1.5	10
5	Midtjylland	7	2	3	2	+0	+0.2	9
6	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.4	8
7	Viborg	8	1	3	4	-1	-1.9	6
8	Nordsjaelland	6	2	0	4	-6	+0.3	6
9	Aalborg	7	1	2	4	-7	-5.4	5
10	Sonderjyske	8	1	1	6	-12	-5.2	4
11	Lyngby	7	0	3	4	-5	-3.1	3
12	Vejle	7	0	1	6	-11	-4.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.