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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
Panathinaikos
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Lamia
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Lamia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
36%
9%
Points per game
1,5
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
18%
45%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
45%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
14 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 9. · Lamia 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 11 6 3 2 +12 21
2 Aris Thessalonikis 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Aris 11 6 3 2 +7 21
4 Panetolikos 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 PAOK 11 6 2 3 +7 20
6 Olympiakos 11 5 3 3 +6 18
7 OFI Crete 12 5 3 4 -2 18
8 Asteras Tripolis 12 4 5 3 +2 17
9 Panathinaikos 11 4 5 2 +2 17
10 Atromitos 12 4 3 5 +0 15
11 Panserraikos 12 3 1 8 -8 10
12 Volos NFC 11 3 1 7 -9 10
13 Levadeiakos 12 1 6 5 -9 9
14 Lamia 11 1 4 6 -10 7
15 Athens Kallithea 12 0 7 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Lamia
7′
🟨 Georgios Kornezos
21′
🟨 Gustavo Furtado
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Giorgos Saramantas
49′
ℹ️ Vedad Radonja
VAR: Card upgrade
50′
🟥 Vedad Radonja
53′
🔁 S. Sandberg
↦ T. Lake
Tetê 🔁
↦ B. Schenkeveld
59′
T. Bakasetas 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
60′
64′
🔁 V. Vitlis
↦ A. Vlachomitros
Azzedine Ounahi 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Artem Bykov
1–0 T. Bakasetas
73′
76′
🔁 N. Mekić
↦ G. Saramantas
P. Max 🔁
↦ F. Mladenović
78′
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
78′
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
88′
Adam Gnezda Čerin 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
55 Willian Arão M
8 A. Ounahi M
17 D. Mancini F
7 F. Ioannidis F
28 F. Pellistri F
Bench (9)
10 Tetê
11 T. Bakasetas
3 P. Max
29 A. Jeremejeff
20 N. Maksimović
27 G. Kotsiras
14 E. Palmer-Brown
1 Y. Lodygin
44 G. Nikas

Coach: Rui Vitória

Lamia

3-4-2-1
1 Álvaro Ratón G
5 N. Gkotzamanidis D
33 G. Kornezos D
94 G. Giannoutsos D
27 V. Radonja M
17 A. Bykov M
23 G. Doiranlis M
3 G. Saramantas M
10 Gustavo Furtado F
26 T. Lake F
11 A. Vlachomitros F
Bench (9)
13 S. Sandberg
21 V. Vitlis
8 N. Mekić
25 A. Simoni
12 I. Kostić
77 A. Tereziou
4 Léo Andrade
20 A. Athanasakopoulos
18 Á. Henríquez

Coach: L. Vokolos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,29
U
5,37
B
9,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.