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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Le Havre
T T T T S
0–3
Full-time
Reims
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 55%
30%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,63 xG 2,65
55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 17. · Reims 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 11 9 2 0 +23 +21.7 29
2 Monaco 11 7 2 2 +10 +12.8 23
3 Marseille 11 6 2 3 +9 -1.3 20
4 Lille 11 5 4 2 +7 +4.0 19
5 Nice 11 4 5 2 +10 +6.4 17
6 Lens 11 4 5 2 +3 +3.8 17
7 Auxerre 11 5 1 5 +1 -2.5 16
8 Lyon 10 4 3 3 +2 +3.9 15
9 Reims 10 4 2 4 +1 -4.0 14
10 Strasbourg 11 3 4 4 -2 -4.0 13
11 Brest 10 4 1 5 -3 -6.0 13
12 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 +0 +6.6 12
13 Rennes 10 3 2 5 -3 -1.0 11
14 Nantes 11 2 4 5 -3 -3.9 10
15 Angers 11 2 4 5 -7 -7.4 10
16 St Etienne 10 3 1 6 -14 -8.8 10
17 Le Havre 10 3 0 7 -12 -6.8 9
18 Montpellier 10 1 1 8 -22 -13.3 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Reims
2′
🟨 Emmanuel Agbadou
15′
O. Diakité 0–1
21′
K. Nakamura 0–2
Sergio Akieme
28′
🟨 Sergio Akieme
32′
🟨 Oumar Diakité
40′
🔁 Abdoul Koné
↦ Aurélio Buta
Half-time 0–2
Abdoulaye Touré 🟨
46′
57′
J. Ito 0–3
58′
ℹ️ Junya Ito
VAR: Goal confirmed
I. Soumaré 🔁
↦ E. Sabbi
69′
J. Casimir 🔁
↦ Y. Salmier
70′
71′
🔁 Y. Fofana
↦ Amadou Koné
71′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ O. Diakité
D. Kuzyaev 🔁
↦ A. Touré
80′
85′
🔁 M. Diakhon
↦ J. Ito
A. Joujou 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
86′
86′
🔁 T. Teuma
↦ K. Nakamura
88′
🟨 Joseph Okumu
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Le Havre

3-4-2-1
30 A. Desmas G
22 Y. Salmier D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
32 T. Pembélé M
94 A. Touré M
5 O. Targhalline M
27 C. Opéri M
11 E. Sabbi F
8 Y. Kechta F
28 A. Ayew F
Bench (9)
45 I. Soumaré
10 J. Casimir
14 D. Kuzyaev
21 A. Joujou
7 L. Nego
46 I. Housni
19 R. Ndiaye
1 M. Gorgelin
18 Y. Zouaoui

Coach: D. Digard

Reims

4-3-3
94 Y. Diouf G
23 Aurélio Buta D
2 J. Okumu D
5 E. Agbadou D
18 Sergio Akieme D
6 V. Atangana Edoa M
72 Amadou Koné M
15 M. Munetsi M
7 J. Ito F
22 O. Diakité F
17 K. Nakamura F
Bench (9)
92 Abdoul Koné
71 Y. Fofana
11 A. Salama
67 M. Diakhon
10 T. Teuma
19 Gabriel Moscardo
25 T. De Smet
20 A. Olliero
21 C. Kipré

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,28
U
3,27
B ✓
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.