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Superligaen

Referee: J Maae

Aarhus

U S T S S

1–1

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,75 xG 0,87

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 2. · FC Copenhagen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	8	3	4	+5	+4.3	27
2	Aarhus	14	7	5	2	+14	+2.1	26
3	FC Copenhagen	14	7	5	2	+10	+10.4	26
4	Silkeborg	15	6	7	2	+7	-1.4	25
5	Randers FC	15	6	6	3	+9	+4.6	24
6	Brondby	14	6	4	4	+8	+6.9	22
7	Nordsjaelland	14	6	4	4	+2	+5.3	22
8	Viborg	15	5	5	5	+3	-2.5	20
9	Aalborg	15	4	4	7	-12	-9.3	16
10	Sonderjyske	15	3	3	9	-18	-10.9	12
11	Lyngby	15	1	7	7	-9	-2.8	10
12	Vejle	15	1	3	11	-19	-6.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	3	0	+12	+2.5	18
2	Midtjylland	7	6	0	1	+6	+5.2	18
3	Nordsjaelland	8	4	4	0	+8	+5.0	16
4	FC Copenhagen	7	4	3	0	+7	+6.4	15
5	Silkeborg	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.1	15
6	Viborg	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.7	14
7	Randers FC	7	3	2	2	+4	+2.5	11
8	Brondby	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
9	Aalborg	7	3	1	3	-5	-2.9	10
10	Sonderjyske	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.6	8
11	Lyngby	8	1	4	3	-4	+0.4	7
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.1	13
2	Brondby	8	3	2	3	+4	+4.3	11
3	FC Copenhagen	7	3	2	2	+3	+4.0	11
4	Silkeborg	7	2	4	1	+3	-1.5	10
5	Midtjylland	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.9	9
6	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.4	8
7	Viborg	8	1	3	4	-1	-1.9	6
8	Nordsjaelland	6	2	0	4	-6	+0.3	6
9	Aalborg	8	1	3	4	-7	-6.4	6
10	Sonderjyske	8	1	1	6	-12	-5.2	4
11	Lyngby	7	0	3	4	-5	-3.1	3
12	Vejle	7	0	1	6	-11	-4.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.