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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Ath Bilbao
U U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Slavia Praha
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Slavia Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,17 xG 1,07
39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Slavia Praha
Iñaki Williams ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
29′
1–0 Nico Williams ⚽
Álex Berenguer
33′
Daniel Vivian 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Unai Gómez 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
63′
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ Gorka Guruzeta
63′
63′
🔁 M. Jurásek
↦ O. Zmrzlý
63′
🔁 T. Chorý
↦ M. Chytil
68′
🟨 Christos Zafeiris
72′
🔁 O. Lingr
↦ S. Michez
Oihan Sancet 🔁
↦ Nico Williams
77′
Mikel Jauregizar 🔁
↦ Ruíz de Galarreta
77′
Óscar de Marcos 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 Jan Bořil
Ander Herrera 🔁
↦ Beñat Prados
86′
88′
🔁 Š. Chaloupek
↦ D. Zima
88′
🔁 D. Pech
↦ C. Zafeiris
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
18 De Marcos D
3 Dani Vivian D
4 Aitor Paredes D
17 Yuri D
16 Ruíz de Galarreta M
24 Beñat Prados M
9 I. Williams M
7 Álex Berenguer M
10 Nico Williams M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
20 Unai Gómez
11 Álvaro Djaló
8 Oihan Sancet
23 Mikel Jauregizar
21 Ander Herrera
6 Mikel Vesga
5 Yeray
2 Andoni Gorosabel
22 Nico Serrano
15 Lekue
26 Á. Padilla
14 Unai Núñez

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Slavia Praha

4-2-3-1
31 A. Kinský G
21 D. Douděra D
4 D. Zima D
18 J. Bořil D
12 E. Diouf D
10 C. Zafeiris M
19 O. Dorley M
14 S. Michez M
17 L. Provod M
33 O. Zmrzlý M
13 M. Chytil F
Bench (11)
35 M. Jurásek
25 T. Chorý
32 O. Lingr
2 Š. Chaloupek
48 D. Pech
28 F. Prebsl
50 F. Slavata
6 C. Wallem
57 J. Kolísek
24 A. Mandous
47 M. Naskos

Coach: J. Trpišovský

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.