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Copa del Rey

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz

Astur

1–4

Full-time

Valladolid

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Astur Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Astur	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Astur	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
6	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
13	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.