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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Fenerbahce

U U S S T

4–0

Full-time

Sivasspor

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 58%

70%

45%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

60%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

40%

64%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,26 xG 0,96

55% Possession 45%

24 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Sivasspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	10	1	0	+21	+8.3	31
2	Samsunspor	12	8	1	3	+11	+6.4	25
3	Fenerbahce	10	7	2	1	+14	+11.6	23
4	Eyüpspor	12	6	4	2	+7	+0.8	22
5	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+9	+7.6	20
6	Goztep	11	5	3	3	+6	+2.9	18
7	Sivasspor	11	5	2	4	+1	-7.6	17
8	Buyuksehyr	10	4	3	3	+3	+2.4	15
9	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+0.8	14
10	Konyaspor	12	4	2	6	-6	-3.7	14
11	Antalyaspor	12	4	2	6	-9	-8.3	14
12	Rizespor	11	4	1	6	-9	-1.3	13
13	Trabzonspor	11	2	6	3	-2	-2.8	12
14	Gaziantep	11	3	3	5	-3	-3.6	12
15	Kayserispor	11	2	6	3	-5	-3.5	12
16	Bodrumspor	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.4	11
17	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	+0.8	10
18	Hatayspor	11	1	3	7	-8	-5.3	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	2	9	-16	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+11	+9.2	19
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Eyüpspor	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.8	13
4	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
5	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	+2	+3.8	10
6	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-3.7	10
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.0	10
8	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+4	+6.2	9
9	Buyuksehyr	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
10	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.6	8
11	Trabzonspor	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.6	8
12	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
13	Bodrumspor	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.9	7
14	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.2	7
15	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-1.1	3
18	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	0	6	-12	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	0	+10	+5.4	14
3	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
4	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+4	+0.6	11
5	Eyüpspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
6	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
7	Besiktas	5	2	2	1	+4	+1.3	8
8	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.9	7
9	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	+0.1	7
10	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-5	-1.1	6
11	Konyaspor	7	2	0	5	-7	-4.6	6
12	Trabzonspor	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.2	4
13	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.4	4
14	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
15	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
16	Bodrumspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-2.4	4
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.