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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Kilmarnock
S S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Celtic
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 59%
27%
90%
Points per game
1,1
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
73%
70%
Both score Ø 42%
64%
20%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,9
Conceded
2,1
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 8. · Celtic 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aberdeen 11 10 1 0 +14 31
2 Celtic 10 9 1 0 +26 28
3 Rangers 10 6 1 3 +7 19
4 Dundee United 12 5 4 3 +5 19
5 Motherwell 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 St Mirren 13 4 3 6 -5 15
7 Dundee 12 3 3 6 -6 12
8 Kilmarnock 11 3 3 5 -8 12
9 Ross County 13 2 6 5 -11 12
10 ST Johnstone 13 3 1 9 -11 10
11 Hearts 12 2 3 7 -5 9
12 Hibernian 12 1 5 6 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-1-4-2
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
6 R. Deas D
3 C. Ndaba M
8 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
12 D. Watson M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
18 I. Cameron
15 F. Murray
19 B. Anderson
7 R. McKenzie
14 G. Mackay-Steven
2 J. Burroughs
31 L. Polworth
1 K. O'Hara
51 O. Bainbridge

Coach: D. McInnes

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
8 K. Furuhashi
28 Paulo Bernardo
56 A. Ralston
49 J. Forrest
14 L. McCowan
11 Álex Valle
57 S. Welsh
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
12 V. Sinisalo

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,60
U
5,44
B ✓
1,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,48
U2,5 ✓
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.