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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergiu Muresan
Albacete
S T U T U
2–2
Full-time
Oviedo
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
31%
46%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
54%
38%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 14. · Oviedo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 14 10 3 1 +11 33
2 Sp Gijon 14 7 4 3 +8 25
3 Zaragoza 14 7 2 5 +7 23
4 Granada 14 6 4 4 +4 22
5 Oviedo 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Mirandes 14 6 4 4 +2 22
7 Levante 12 6 3 3 +4 21
8 Elche 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Castellon 13 6 2 5 +4 20
10 Malaga 13 4 8 1 +1 20
11 Huesca 13 5 4 4 +5 19
12 Almeria 13 5 4 4 +0 19
13 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -2 18
14 Albacete 13 4 4 5 -2 16
15 Cordoba 13 4 4 5 -2 16
16 Burgos 14 4 3 7 -6 15
17 Cadiz 14 3 5 6 -6 14
18 La Coruna 13 3 4 6 +0 13
19 Eldense 13 3 3 7 -6 12
20 Ferrol 13 2 6 5 -6 12
21 Tenerife 13 2 4 7 -7 10
22 Cartagena 14 2 1 11 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Oviedo
Rai Marchán 🟨
6′
Juanma García 🟨
17′
30′
Alemão 0–1
33′
ℹ️ Alemão
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Alberto Quiles
46′
Javi Villar 🔁
↦ Rai Marchán
46′
58′
Alemão 1–2
2–2 Javi Rueda
Riki Rodríguez
62′
64′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ H. Hassan
67′
🟨 Ilyas Chaira
70′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ Santi Cazorla
Higinio Marín 🔁
↦ Juanma García
72′
79′
🔁 Lucas Ahijado
↦ Oier Luengo
79′
🔁 Carlos Dotor
↦ K. Sibo
Juan María Alcedo 🔁
↦ Álvaro Rodríguez
84′
Antonio Pacheco 🔁
↦ Jon Morcillo
84′
86′
🟨 Alemão
89′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
N. Touaizi 🔁
↦ Alberto Quiles
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Albacete

4-4-2
13 Raúl Lizoain G
29 Javi Rueda D
14 Jon García D
27 Lalo Aguilar D
2 Álvaro Rodríguez D
4 Agus Medina M
6 Rai Marchán M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
22 Jon Morcillo M
21 Alberto Quiles F
7 Juanma García F
Bench (9)
18 Javi Villar
9 Higinio Marín
3 Juan María Alcedo
20 Antonio Pacheco
15 N. Touaizi
5 Juan Antonio
17 Ale Meléndez
1 Cristian Rivero
36 Capi

Coach: Alberto González

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
29 Jaime Vázquez D
3 R. Alhassane D
6 K. Sibo M
11 S. Colombatto M
23 H. Hassan M
8 Santi Cazorla M
16 I. Chaira M
9 Alemão F
Bench (10)
7 Sebas Moyano
14 D. Paraschiv
24 Lucas Ahijado
22 Carlos Dotor
1 Q. Braat
31 C. Eze
19 F. Viñas
5 Alberto del Moral
17 Masca
27 Álex Cardero

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,01
B
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sergiu Muresan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.