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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Osasuna

T S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Valencia

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 6

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match Osasuna 6. · Valencia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Real Madrid	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Betis	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Ath Madrid	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Osasuna	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+8	12
9	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
10	Vallecano	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Celta	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Girona	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Valladolid	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Sevilla	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Almeria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Cadiz	7	1	1	5	-13	4
20	Elche	7	0	1	6	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Valencia	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Girona	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Vallecano	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Ath Madrid	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Espanol	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Sevilla	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	1	3	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Betis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Celta	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Girona	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Elche	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.