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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Sevilla

T T U U S

1–1

Full-time

Valencia

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 26

4 Yellow cards 7

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 14. · Valencia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Barcelona	9	7	1	1	+17	22
3	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Betis	9	6	1	2	+7	19
5	Sociedad	9	6	1	2	+3	19
6	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Villarreal	9	4	3	2	+9	15
8	Valencia	9	4	2	3	+6	14
9	Osasuna	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Vallecano	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Celta	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Mallorca	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Espanol	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Girona	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Getafe	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Almeria	9	2	1	6	-7	7
19	Cadiz	9	1	3	5	-13	6
20	Elche	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Valencia	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Osasuna	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+6	7
8	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Celta	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Vallecano	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
12	Ath Madrid	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+1	6
14	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Getafe	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Elche	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Sociedad	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+3	8
6	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Betis	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Cadiz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Celta	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Girona	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Almeria	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Elche	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.