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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Valencia
S U S U U
1–2
Full-time
Mallorca
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 8. · Mallorca 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 9 1 0 +17 28
2 Barcelona 10 8 1 1 +20 25
3 Sociedad 11 7 1 3 +3 22
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +8 20
5 Betis 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 3 2 +11 18
7 Osasuna 10 5 1 4 +0 16
8 Valencia 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Villarreal 10 4 3 3 +6 15
10 Vallecano 11 4 3 4 +2 15
11 Valladolid 11 4 2 5 -4 14
12 Sevilla 10 2 4 4 -5 10
13 Almeria 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 Celta 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Mallorca 10 2 3 5 -4 9
16 Espanol 10 2 3 5 -5 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 -8 9
18 Girona 10 2 2 6 -4 8
19 Cadiz 11 1 4 6 -17 7
20 Elche 10 0 3 7 -18 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Mallorca
C. Özkacar 🔁
↦ M. Diakhaby
4′
15′
🟨 Rodrigo Battaglia
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Cavani
52′
55′
🔁 Dani Rodríguez
↦ Copete
55′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ R. Battaglia
55′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ Antonio Sánchez
60′
🟨 Vedat Muriqi
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
65′
66′
V. Muriqi 1–1
Hugo Guillamón 🔁
↦ Nico González
67′
Yunus Musah 🟨
70′
Marcos André 🔁
↦ André Almeida
74′
Hugo Duro 🔁
↦ J. Kluivert
74′
76′
🔁 M. Nastasić
↦ M. Valjent
79′
🔁 G. González
↦ Jaume Costa
83′
Lee Kang-In 1–2
Dani Rodríguez
86′
🟨 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Hugo Guillamón 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Antonio Raíllo
92′
🟨 Dani Rodríguez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Valencia

4-3-3
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 Thierry Correia D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
12 M. Diakhaby D
14 José Gayà D
4 Y. Musah M
17 Nico González M
18 André Almeida M
9 J. Kluivert F
7 E. Cavani F
16 Samuel Lino F
Bench (12)
15 C. Özkacar
6 Hugo Guillamón
22 Marcos André
19 Hugo Duro
13 Cristian Rivero
8 Ilaix Moriba
29 Fran Pérez
3 Toni Lato
20 D. Foulquier
1 Iago Herrerín
33 Cristhian Mosquera
21 Jesús Vázquez

Coach: G. Gattuso

Mallorca

5-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
18 Jaume Costa D
10 Antonio Sánchez M
16 R. Battaglia M
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
19 Lee Kang-In M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
14 Dani Rodríguez
23 A. Ndiaye
12 I. Baba
2 M. Nastasić
20 G. González
3 B. Cufré
29 Josep Gayá
5 F. Russo
31 Leo Román
11 L. Junior
9 Abdón Prats
22 Ángel

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
3,58
B ✓
5,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.