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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Valencia

T U U T U

2–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 46%

24%

67%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

55%

64%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 14. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	34	23	7	4	+39	76
2	Real Madrid	34	22	8	4	+34	74
3	Barcelona	33	22	5	6	+46	71
4	Sevilla	33	22	4	7	+23	70
5	Sociedad	34	14	11	9	+16	53
6	Villarreal	34	13	13	8	+13	52
7	Betis	34	14	9	11	-3	51
8	Granada	34	13	6	15	-12	45
9	Celta	34	11	11	12	-5	44
10	Ath Bilbao	33	10	12	11	+7	42
11	Osasuna	34	10	10	14	-10	40
12	Cadiz	34	10	10	14	-20	40
13	Levante	34	9	11	14	-10	38
14	Valencia	33	8	12	13	-7	36
15	Getafe	34	8	10	16	-14	34
16	Valladolid	34	5	16	13	-14	31
17	Alaves	34	7	10	17	-24	31
18	Huesca	34	6	12	16	-18	30
19	Elche	34	6	12	16	-21	30
20	Eibar	34	5	11	18	-20	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Real Madrid	17	12	2	3	+19	38
3	Barcelona	17	11	4	2	+25	37
4	Sevilla	16	12	1	3	+15	37
5	Granada	17	9	3	5	+3	30
6	Ath Bilbao	17	8	5	4	+11	29
7	Betis	17	8	5	4	+4	29
8	Sociedad	17	7	6	4	+8	27
9	Villarreal	17	7	6	4	+4	27
10	Celta	17	8	3	6	+0	27
11	Valencia	16	6	7	3	+6	25
12	Osasuna	17	6	5	6	-2	23
13	Levante	17	5	7	5	-3	22
14	Getafe	17	5	6	6	+2	21
15	Elche	17	4	8	5	-5	20
16	Alaves	17	5	5	7	-6	20
17	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
18	Cadiz	17	4	5	8	-12	17
19	Valladolid	17	3	7	7	-8	16
20	Eibar	17	2	6	9	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
2	Barcelona	16	11	1	4	+21	34
3	Ath Madrid	17	10	4	3	+11	34
4	Sevilla	17	10	3	4	+8	33
5	Sociedad	17	7	5	5	+8	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
7	Cadiz	17	6	5	6	-8	23
8	Betis	17	6	4	7	-7	22
9	Celta	17	3	8	6	-5	17
10	Osasuna	17	4	5	8	-8	17
11	Levante	17	4	4	9	-7	16
12	Valladolid	17	2	9	6	-6	15
13	Granada	17	4	3	10	-15	15
14	Eibar	17	3	5	9	-12	14
15	Ath Bilbao	16	2	7	7	-4	13
16	Getafe	17	3	4	10	-16	13
17	Huesca	17	2	6	9	-13	12
18	Valencia	17	2	5	10	-13	11
19	Alaves	17	2	5	10	-18	11
20	Elche	17	2	4	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.