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La Liga
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega
Valladolid
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Espanol
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
22%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
22%
44%
Average goals
1,6
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 6. · Espanol 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 9 5 3 1 +12 18
2 Espanol 9 5 2 2 +6 17
3 Alaves 9 5 2 2 +4 17
4 Sevilla 9 5 1 3 +8 16
5 Ath Madrid 9 4 4 1 +5 16
6 Valladolid 9 4 3 2 +2 15
7 Real Madrid 9 4 2 3 +4 14
8 Levante 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Sociedad 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Getafe 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Betis 9 3 3 3 -2 12
12 Eibar 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Celta 9 2 4 3 +0 10
14 Valencia 9 1 7 1 -1 10
15 Girona 9 2 4 3 -3 10
16 Villarreal 9 2 3 4 -1 9
17 Ath Bilbao 9 1 6 2 -4 9
18 Leganes 9 2 2 5 -5 8
19 Vallecano 9 1 3 5 -9 6
20 Huesca 9 1 2 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Espanol
20′
Borja Iglesias 0–1
Óscar Melendo
Kiko Olivas 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ H. Pérez
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ L. Suárez
55′
Ruben Alcaraz 🟨
61′
Míchel Herrero 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 Víctor Sánchez
↦ Óscar Melendo
73′
🟨 Javi López
D. Verde 🔁
↦ Javi Moyano
74′
75′
🟨 Didac Vila
78′
🔁 Ó. Duarte
↦ Sergio García
Ivi López 🔁
↦ Toni Suárez
87′
Oscar Plano 🟨
90′
1–1 D. Verde
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
18 Antoñito D
22 Nacho Martínez D
5 Fernando Calero D
21 Míchel M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
32 L. Suárez F
19 Toni Suárez M
9 E. Ünal F
Bench (7)
10 Óscar Plano
11 D. Verde
7 Ivi López
2 Joaquín Fernández
8 Borja Fernández
13 Yoel
23 Anuar Tuhami

Coach: Sergio

Espanol

4-3-3
13 Diego López G
12 Dídac Vilá D
16 Javi López D
15 David López D
22 Mario Hermoso D
10 Sergi Darder M
21 Marc Roca M
14 Óscar Melendo M
9 Sergio García F
17 H. Pérez M
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
19 P. Piatti
4 Víctor Sánchez
6 Ó. Duarte
1 Roberto Jiménez
8 R. Rosales
11 Léo Baptistão
23 Granero

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrian Cordero Vega · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.