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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Valladolid

S S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Almeria

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 8

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 8

6 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 17. · Almeria 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
10	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Girona	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Sevilla	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Elche	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.