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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Girona
T T S U T
3–1
Full-time
Getafe
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Girona 18. · Getafe 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Ath Madrid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Valencia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Almeria 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Celta 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Elche 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Girona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cadiz 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Getafe
Valentin Castellanos 🟨
33′
35′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
1–0 C. Stuani
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Borja Mayoral
46′
🔁 Jaime Seoane
↦ N. Maksimović
1–1 Domingos Duarte
own goal
47′
49′
🟨 Fabrizio Angileri
51′
🟨 Carles Aleñá
Cristhian Stuani ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
52′
Samuel Sáiz 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Riquelme
55′
57′
ℹ️ Enes Ünal
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–1 V. Castellanos
Y. Herrera
64′
65′
🔁 Portu
↦ S. Mitrović
Javi Hernández 🔁
↦ Miguel Gutiérrez
69′
Reinier 🔁
↦ C. Stuani
69′
70′
🟨 Djené
73′
E. Ünal 2–2
Juanpe 🟨
81′
Ramón Terrats 🔁
↦ V. Castellanos
86′
97′
🟥 Fabrizio Angileri
98′
🟨 Enes Ünal
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Girona

3-1-4-2
1 Juan Carlos G
22 S. Bueno D
5 David López D
15 Juanpe D
14 Aleix García M
20 Yan Couto M
21 Y. Herrera M
17 Rodrigo Riquelme M
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M
7 C. Stuani F
9 V. Castellanos F
Bench (11)
10 Samuel Sáiz
16 Javi Hernández
19 Reinier
8 Ramón Terrats
4 Arnau Martínez
2 B. Espinosa
36 Ricard Artero
11 Valery
33 Joel Roca
30 Matas
32 Oscar Ureña

Coach: Míchel

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
21 Juan Iglesias D
2 D. Dakonam D
23 S. Mitrović D
6 Domingos Duarte D
3 F. Angileri D
11 Carles Aleñá M
18 M. Arambarri M
20 N. Maksimović M
10 E. Ünal F
19 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (12)
8 Jaime Seoane
9 Portu
16 Ángel Algobia
32 Álex Rodríguez
31 Álex Revuelta
1 Kiko Casilla
7 Mata
28 John Patrick
30 Moisés Parra
29 Gorka
27 Diego Conde
4 G. Álvarez

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,81
U
2,84
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,89
U2,5
1,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.