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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Ath Madrid

T S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 60%

62%

57%

Points per game

2,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

29%

67%

Both score Ø 48%

33%

62%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Valencia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	18	4	0	+49	58
2	Ath Madrid	21	13	7	1	+23	46
3	Valencia	21	12	4	5	+17	40
4	Real Madrid	21	11	6	4	+24	39
5	Villarreal	22	11	4	7	+7	37
6	Sevilla	22	10	3	9	-6	33
7	Eibar	22	9	5	8	-3	32
8	Celta	22	9	4	9	+7	31
9	Girona	22	8	7	7	+2	31
10	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
11	Getafe	22	7	8	7	+5	29
12	Leganes	21	8	5	8	-1	29
13	Ath Bilbao	22	6	9	7	-1	27
14	Sociedad	22	7	5	10	+1	26
15	Espanol	22	6	7	9	-10	25
16	Alaves	22	7	1	14	-13	22
17	Levante	22	3	11	8	-12	20
18	La Coruna	22	4	5	13	-27	17
19	Las Palmas	21	4	2	15	-34	14
20	Malaga	21	3	4	14	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+10	21
5	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
6	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+8	21
7	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
8	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+11	20
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Espanol	12	5	3	4	+0	18
11	Girona	11	5	2	4	+5	17
12	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+2	17
13	Alaves	12	5	1	6	-4	16
14	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
15	Celta	10	4	3	3	+2	15
16	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	+2	14
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
18	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	9	3	0	+23	30
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	2	5	-4	17
6	Celta	12	5	1	6	+5	16
7	Girona	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Ath Bilbao	12	3	4	5	-3	13
9	Leganes	12	3	3	6	-3	12
10	Sevilla	12	4	0	8	-14	12
11	Sociedad	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-13	11
13	Betis	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	8
16	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Alaves	10	2	0	8	-9	6
18	La Coruna	11	1	3	7	-20	6
19	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-14	4
20	Las Palmas	11	1	1	9	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.