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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Ath Madrid

S S T S S

3–2

Full-time

Valencia

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 49%

61%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

21%

33%

Both score Ø 41%

30%

52%

Average goals

2,1

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Valencia 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	34	24	8	2	+53	80
2	Ath Madrid	33	20	8	5	+27	68
3	Real Madrid	33	20	4	9	+21	64
4	Getafe	33	14	12	7	+14	54
5	Sevilla	33	15	7	11	+12	52
6	Valencia	33	12	16	5	+10	52
7	Ath Bilbao	33	11	13	9	-4	46
8	Alaves	34	12	10	12	-9	46
9	Betis	33	12	7	14	-6	43
10	Espanol	33	11	9	13	-9	42
11	Sociedad	33	10	11	12	-2	41
12	Leganes	33	10	11	12	-5	41
13	Eibar	34	9	13	12	-5	40
14	Villarreal	33	8	12	13	-4	36
15	Celta	33	9	8	16	-9	35
16	Valladolid	34	8	11	15	-18	35
17	Girona	34	8	10	16	-13	34
18	Levante	33	8	10	15	-14	34
19	Huesca	34	6	11	17	-18	29
20	Vallecano	33	7	7	19	-21	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	13	3	1	+31	42
2	Ath Madrid	16	13	2	1	+20	41
3	Real Madrid	17	12	1	4	+18	37
4	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+15	33
5	Getafe	16	10	1	5	+13	31
6	Ath Bilbao	17	8	7	2	+5	31
7	Eibar	17	8	5	4	+9	29
8	Espanol	16	9	2	5	+1	29
9	Valencia	17	6	10	1	+11	28
10	Leganes	16	7	7	2	+6	28
11	Alaves	17	6	8	3	+0	26
12	Celta	17	7	4	6	+4	25
13	Betis	17	7	4	6	-2	25
14	Sociedad	16	5	6	5	+1	21
15	Villarreal	17	4	7	6	+1	19
16	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-3	18
17	Levante	16	4	6	6	-7	18
18	Vallecano	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	17
20	Girona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Ath Madrid	17	7	6	4	+7	27
3	Real Madrid	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Valencia	16	6	6	4	-1	24
5	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
6	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Sociedad	17	5	5	7	-3	20
8	Alaves	17	6	2	9	-9	20
9	Sevilla	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Betis	16	5	3	8	-4	18
11	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-5	17
13	Levante	17	4	4	9	-7	16
14	Ath Bilbao	16	3	6	7	-9	15
15	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-10	13
16	Leganes	17	3	4	10	-11	13
17	Eibar	17	1	8	8	-14	11
18	Huesca	17	2	5	10	-15	11
19	Celta	16	2	4	10	-13	10
20	Vallecano	16	3	1	12	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.