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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Sociedad
U S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Alaves
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
20%
0%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
1,4
0,4
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Alaves 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
3 Ath Bilbao 6 3 3 0 +5 12
4 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Getafe 6 1 4 1 +1 7
11 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Osasuna 6 1 4 1 -1 7
13 Valencia 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Celta 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Alaves 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Espanol 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
20 Leganes 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Alaves
1–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
M. Ødegaard
19′
27′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
2–0 Willian José
Mikel Oyarzabal
32′
3–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
41′
Half-time 3–0
A. Isak 🔁
↦ Willian José
46′
46′
🔁 Aleix Vidal
↦ M. Wakaso
49′
🟨 Tomás Pina
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
60′
60′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Pina
Portu 🟨
61′
74′
🟨 Manu García
R. Le Normand 🔁
↦ Gorosabel
75′
75′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Borja Sainz
85′
🟨 Manu García
85′
🟥 Manu García
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Andoni Gorosabel D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
3 Diego Llorente D
20 Nacho Monreal D
21 Martin Ødegaard M
16 Ander Guevara M
8 Mikel Merino M
7 Portu F
9 Willian José F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (7)
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà
24 Robin Le Normand
5 Igor Zubeldia
23 Luca Sangalli
11 Adnan Januzaj
17 David Zurutuza
19 Alexander Isak

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Alaves

4-1-4-1
1 Fernando Pacheco G
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
4 Rodrigo Ely D
6 Lisandro Magallán D
17 Adrián Marín D
8 Tomás Pina M
29 Borja Sainz M
20 Pere Pons M
22 Mubarak Wakaso M
24 Oliver Burke M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
13 Antonio Sivera
3 Rubén Duarte
27 Alberto Rodríguez
18 Aleix Vidal
19 Manu García
9 Joselu
10 John Guidetti

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,83
B
5,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.